shibor

The Fingerprints of Bumbling (China)

By |2019-08-21T17:46:46-04:00August 21st, 2019|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

For a cabal of superpatient supergeniuses, the Chinese tend to play with fire quite often. According to many, the Communists have perfected the art of technocracy and are merely waiting out the impetuously free West. The dollar system will destroy itself (there’s the kernel of truth) allowing a perfectly positioned China to swoop in and [...]

That Can’t Be Good: China Unveils Another ‘Market Reform’

By |2019-08-19T13:16:07-04:00August 19th, 2019|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

The Chinese have been reforming their monetary and credit system for decades. Liberalization has been an overriding goal, seen as necessary to accompany the processes which would keep the country’s economic “miracle” on track. Or get it back on track, as the case may be. Authorities had traditionally controlled interest rates through various limits and [...]

China Repo: Vulnerability or Bottleneck, Risk Aversion and Collateral

By |2019-08-12T16:41:07-04:00August 12th, 2019|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

Toward the end of June, Chinese RMB money markets seemed like they had weathered the worst of it. One month earlier, in late May, regulators had seized Baoshang Bank Co. sending waves of uncertainty rippling through markets in China and around the world. Authorities were quick to declare “nothing to see here”, blaming the bank’s [...]

Baoshang Isn’t China’s Lehman, So Why Does April 17 Show Up All Over Global Markets?

By |2019-06-24T16:27:12-04:00June 24th, 2019|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

One month ago, on May 24, Chinese regulators stunned the world by announcing the first bank restructuring in modern China’s history. Based in Inner Mongolia, Baoshang Bank was seized because of what the PBOC and China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission said was “severe credit risk.” Initial reports attempted to link Baoshang’s struggles to financier [...]

China Doves

By |2019-04-23T12:17:29-04:00April 23rd, 2019|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

A little less than three weeks ago, the overnight unsecured money market rate for Chinese renminbi (RMB), SHIBOR, had fallen sharply to 1.417%. This was among the lowest in history, though it has been happening more frequently since last summer. That sounds like a good thing, only the low rates don’t ever last. Instead, over [...]