punchbowl

Gifts of Wyoming, Complicating A Simple Story About Bears

By |2019-08-23T16:39:37-05:00August 23rd, 2019|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets, Stocks|

Curiously short on star power, the Jackson Hole gathering this year has already taken an odd turn. It’s been practically subversive. Usually when the Kansas City Fed gets together for these things each and every August, the main attraction is the top central bankers in the major economies. Outside of the Bank of England’s Mark [...]

What If There Was No Punchbowl In The First Place?

By |2019-05-30T18:00:11-05:00May 30th, 2019|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

The celebration was premature. As usual, people were extrapolating reflation into recovery. Getting relatively better after being really bad is not the same as truly healing. Reflation is a necessary but by itself insufficient condition for normalcy. The latter requires the former as a first step and then needs enough momentum (of opportunity) to carry [...]

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