Great Recession

Gold: Big Difference Which Kind of Hedge It Truly Is

By |2019-08-30T16:16:19-04:00August 30th, 2019|Bonds, Commodities, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

It isn’t inflation which is driving gold higher, at least not the current levels of inflation. According to the latest update from the Bureau of Economic Analysis, the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation calculation, the PCE Deflator, continues to significantly undershoot. Monetary policy explicitly calls for that rate to be consistent around 2%, an outcome policymakers [...]

IMF Cancels Globally Synchronized Growth, Confirms The Worst Case

By |2019-04-09T12:58:42-04:00April 9th, 2019|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

The IMF becomes the latest mainstream organization to abandon the recovery. It wasn’t really much of one to begin with, mostly just the hope that an uptick in growth would lead to the long sought, and necessary, completion. Globally synchronized growth in 2017 was supposed to mean a plausible pathway toward it. The IMF’s World [...]

The Best Year In Over A Decade Confirms The Economy Still Near The Worst

By |2019-02-28T16:29:57-05:00February 28th, 2019|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

A month behind schedule, Q4 GDP sure did disappoint. I don’t mean that it was disastrously weak, rather it came in right down the middle benefiting neither camp. The BEA’s not preliminary but not quite second revised GDP estimate for Q4 2018 was 2.55617% (seasonally adjusted compounded annual rate) above Q3. Not strong enough to [...]

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