global recession

Trade Wars Will Be The New Subprime

By |2019-05-31T16:23:12-05:00May 31st, 2019|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

Trade wars are rapidly turning into subprime mortgages. A few billion in tariffs will have wrecked the entire global economy, they’ll claim. Just like all that toxic waste subprime mortgage fiasco led inevitably to the Great “Recession” and global panic. Neither will be true, except insofar as both were symptoms of the far greater cause. [...]

Global Recession Risks Right Now

By |2019-02-06T11:41:30-05:00February 6th, 2019|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

Germany is a tough one to get around. Argentina falls into a bad recession, you can get by believing that’s not particularly unusual or interesting. If its neighbor Brazil becomes shaky, you can still chalk it up to EM volatility. Italy is Europe’s perpetual basket case. China’s a little more difficult, but still that country [...]

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