consumer prices

The Path Clear For More Rate Cuts, If You Like That Sort of Thing

By |2019-08-13T16:13:21-04:00August 13th, 2019|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

If you like rate cuts and think they are powerful tools to help manage a soft patch, then there was good news in two international oil reports over the last week. The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) cut its forecast for global demand growth for the seventh straight month. On Friday, the International Energy Agency [...]

Another Sign of the Changed Times, The Politics of Inflation

By |2019-04-29T16:58:54-04:00April 29th, 2019|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

The administration continues to plead for rate cuts. I think they understand the gravity of the situation, if not quite the situation itself. The President’s chief economic advisor, Larry Kudlow, was back at his old TV home on CNBC today. In the wake of more “muted” inflation figures one quarter of the way through 2019, [...]

A First Look At Why Greater Demand For Scapegoats Than Rate Cuts

By |2019-04-01T16:55:18-04:00April 1st, 2019|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

At the end of last week, the Bureau of Economic Analysis reported data on US Personal Income and Spending that hit every sour note. There was the lowest inflation rate, the deflator to those spending figures, in years as well as the clear need to officially anoint a successor to the Verizon madness. The release [...]

The Real Price of Inflation Targeting

By |2019-03-04T16:29:40-05:00March 4th, 2019|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

While still a professor of Economics at Princeton, future Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke was also a Research Associate for the NBER. In 1999, in his capacities with the latter organization, Bernanke advocated for widespread adoption of inflation targeting. At that time, only a few central banks had experimented with it and there wasn’t much [...]

Inflation Falls Again, Dot-com-like

By |2019-02-13T16:37:20-05:00February 13th, 2019|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets, Stocks|

US inflation in January 2019 was, according to the CPI, the lowest in years. At just 1.55% year-over-year, the index hadn’t suggested this level since September 2016 right at the outset of what would become Reflation #3. Having hyped expectations over that interim, US policymakers now have to face the repercussions of unwinding the hysteria. [...]

It’s Not That There Might Be One, It’s That There Might Be Another One

By |2019-01-30T11:59:57-05:00January 30th, 2019|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

It was a tense exchange. When even politicians can sense that there’s trouble brewing, there really is trouble brewing. Typically the last to figure these things out, if parliamentarians are up in arms it already isn’t good, to put it mildly. Well, not quite the last to know, there are always central bankers faithfully pulling [...]

Economic Report: Consumer Price Index

By |2009-02-20T11:12:47-05:00February 20th, 2009|Markets|

It seems as though the effects of our current government policy has begun to take hold, as prices for consumer products and services have risen despite sharp declines in the stock markets and the economy as a whole. In January, the Consumer Price Index was up 0.3% for the month, after declining in each of the three previous months, including a record [...]

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