collateral

The Frights of Repo-ween: Technical Things and Scaredy-cats

By |2019-10-31T20:50:18-04:00October 31st, 2019|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

It’s not the level of bank reserves. It never was. QT was always a distraction. As I’ve said from the very beginning, the same thing the Fed’s researchers (rather than top policymakers) will say you if you ask them, the level of bank reserves only tells us what the Fed is doing. It does not, [...]

Collateral Reserves: What Is Behind Record Low and Negative Yields

By |2019-08-19T17:40:52-04:00August 19th, 2019|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

It was truly startling when it was announced. The second and more dangerous phase of the Global Financial Crisis had begun on July 15, 2008. Within two weeks, Merrill Lynch had etched its name on the growing list of “troubled” institutions. On July 28, 2008, Merrill Lynch agreed to sell $30.6 billion gross notional amount [...]

China Repo: Vulnerability or Bottleneck, Risk Aversion and Collateral

By |2019-08-12T16:41:07-04:00August 12th, 2019|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

Toward the end of June, Chinese RMB money markets seemed like they had weathered the worst of it. One month earlier, in late May, regulators had seized Baoshang Bank Co. sending waves of uncertainty rippling through markets in China and around the world. Authorities were quick to declare “nothing to see here”, blaming the bank’s [...]

Ticked About TIC: The Accidental Discovery of Perhaps The Big Bottleneck

By |2019-07-17T15:30:38-04:00July 17th, 2019|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

From October 2000 to July 2001, the Treasury Department conducted a special survey of users of its Treasury International Capital (TIC) data. Nearly two decades ago, it had become apparent (to some) just how important international dollar flows were to the overall economic and financial landscape. And not just those of the United States. TIC [...]

What Has Markets Spooked? Probably Something To Do With That Huge Offshore Dollar Hole

By |2019-07-12T18:32:36-04:00July 12th, 2019|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

Like a shark smelling blood in the water, I don’t care that the blood is in the water from leaking out of what will be a dead horse, if it isn’t deceased already. I pretty much intend to beat on it one way or another. The issue isn’t just fed funds, it’s why anyone cares [...]

The RHINO Conundrum of UFO Non-believers

By |2019-06-26T17:14:42-04:00June 26th, 2019|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

In 2005, Ben Bernanke kicked up quite a bit of controversy, or what qualifies as drama in the dry space of top-level Economics. It was Alan Greenspan who really started the conversation, practically begging for someone to offer an answer. Long-term interest rates were not behaving the way they were supposed to; the maestro’s true [...]

From Their Lips To No One’s Ears

By |2019-06-25T15:27:49-04:00June 25th, 2019|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

I thought this one needed a separate notation, though the same subject as the previous article. We’re still talking about the foreign repo pool, or monetary policy’s original reverse repo. It’s basically a way for overseas official governments and central banks to tell the Fed’s New York branch they’re uncomfortable with the dollar condition. How [...]

Federal Funds Is Not Falling With The Rest of Them

By |2019-06-24T18:57:04-04:00June 24th, 2019|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

It’s difficult a lot of times to easily and succinctly describe what’s going on inside a monetary system that; 1. Spans the entire world, easily jumping across if not erasing geographical boundaries; 2. Is located in the shadows, leaving us with no direct data or statistics; 3. Often works in a dizzying array of complexities. [...]

Baoshang Isn’t China’s Lehman, So Why Does April 17 Show Up All Over Global Markets?

By |2019-06-24T16:27:12-04:00June 24th, 2019|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

One month ago, on May 24, Chinese regulators stunned the world by announcing the first bank restructuring in modern China’s history. Based in Inner Mongolia, Baoshang Bank was seized because of what the PBOC and China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission said was “severe credit risk.” Initial reports attempted to link Baoshang’s struggles to financier [...]