bls

Simple Payrolls Right Now, Before Getting To The More Complex Issues

By |2019-09-06T12:33:28-04:00September 6th, 2019|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

Where things stand right now is actually a pretty simple matter. How and why everything might change, as well as how and why we got here, those are more complex issues which depending upon your understanding may not lead to a clear picture of conditions. Right now, we are told, there will be just the [...]

Did The BLS Just Find The Landmine? One-Fifth Of Previously Estimated Payroll Gains May Not Have Existed

By |2019-08-22T17:34:13-04:00August 22nd, 2019|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

The entire basis for what the Fed is now calling a “mid-cycle” adjustment rests upon a specific view of the labor market. There was weakness in consumer spending, there remains weakness in business investment, but none of these cross currents or headwinds are going to matter. Americans are experiencing robust employment conditions which when these [...]

Weakening Labor Market Now In All The Data

By |2019-08-06T12:10:20-04:00August 6th, 2019|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

The JOLTS series had always been a seemingly superfluous set of labor numbers for the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). The agency wanted to go deeper into employment when it originally presented these other series in 2002. The unemployment rate seemed accurate enough, but it came at the labor market solely from the view of [...]

Payrolls: Neither Good Nor Bad, Just More Uncertain

By |2019-03-08T12:23:40-05:00March 8th, 2019|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

The BLS giveth, and the BLS taketh away. That’s not really what has happened, of course, but for many it can seem that way. February’s payroll report obviously stands in striking contrast to January’s. The latter was a blowout, over +311k (revised), hyped near and far as proof of decoupling, the US economy the only [...]

Weekly US Economic Calendar – Dec. 1-5

By |2008-12-05T09:18:12-05:00December 5th, 2008|Markets|

Weekly calendar of latest economic events and indicators, complete with full reports, charts, graphs, and in-depth analysis. Monday ISM Manufacturing Index - Full Report, Charts and Analysis Construction Spending - Full Report NBER Report on Recession - Full Report Tuesday None Wednesday ADP Employment Report - Full Report, Charts and Analysis ISM Non-Manufacuring Index - Full Report, Charts [...]

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