Weekly Chart Review

The dollar index appears to have failed in its attempt to break above the 50 day MA. I fully expect to revisit the all time lows of 2008 before this is all over. Stagflation anyone?

Dollar? Who care? Capital is flowing to where it is treated best and that includes Brazil for now. Whether that survives the election remains to be seen but for now investors want Reals.

A weal dollar also means investors favor hard assets like commodities. The DJ-AIG is outperforming the GSCI right now because it is less dependent on energy but I suspect that will even out if there is a general commodity bull market - and I think that is inevitable.

History says the Canadian dollar should trend with the Aussie version but it is lagging for some reason. Unless there is a problem with the Canadian economy there might be a big catchup move coming.

If real estate is the biggest problem with the US economy why are REITs making new highs? You guessed it - the dollar.

The straight up bond market has finally taken a pause. At a minimum a period of consolidation should be expected but I suspect this top will turn into something more serious.

The high yield market may be a hiding place for bond investors. By the way, this market is why I never took the double dip scenario seriously. If we are headed for a new recession high yield bonds will reflect the higher odds of default.

I've been a champion of the Chilean market for a while now and our Select Countries portfolio has benefited greatly from the near doubling we've seen since our initial purchase, but this is getting a little scary. Where will this market go if copper really takes off?












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