Posted by Joseph Y. Calhoun, III

Jobless claims were down last week:

In the week ending Dec. 19, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 452,000, a decrease of 28,000 from the previous week’s unrevised figure of 480,000. The 4-week moving average was 465,250, a decrease of 2,750 from the previous week’s revised average of 468,000.

The advance seasonally adjusted insured unemployment rate was 3.9 percent for the week ending Dec. 12, unchanged from the prior week’s unrevised rate of 3.9 percent.

The advance number for seasonally adjusted insured unemployment during the week ending Dec. 12 was 5,076,000, a decrease of 127,000 from the preceding week’s revised level of 5,203,000. The 4-week moving average was 5,233,000, a decrease of 90,000 from the preceding week’s revised average of 5,323,000.

Based on claims and some other data points, I believe we are starting to see some job growth. To really see an acceleration we’ll need to see claims drop below 400,000. This is a step in the right direction.